# Joe Thomas: Thomas picked Josh Allen MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Myles Garrett DPOY, Dameon Pierce OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Joe Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-thomas
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> [Hutchinson] might start a little bit slow ... but by mid-season he's going to showing exactly why I had him as the No. 1 overall player in this last NFL draft.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Nick Sirianni to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Dameon Pierce to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Myles Garrett, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Aidan Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aidan-hutchinson
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Derrick Henry — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derrick-henry
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Dameon Pierce — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dameon-pierce
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Myles Garrett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/myles-garrett
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62)
- Connor Rogers on Detroit Lions: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Detroit Lions: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Philadelphia Eagles: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on Tristan Wirfs: Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88928365-78fb-4f7b-84a4-0dd7856ba9cc (scored 0)
- Jourdan Rodrigue on Josh Simmons: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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