# Andrew Erickson: Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere.

**Claimed:** Feb 21, 2026
**Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-erickson
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1967

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 68.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> He's gonna be a fantasy RB one on a team not named the New York Jets.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Breece Hall to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Breece Hall
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Much lower than the consensus rank of RB three. I have met RB ten... you have him at RB seven [Chase Brown]... You've got him just cracking that group at twelve [Breece Hall]... you've got him a little bit lower on RB fifteen [Jeremiah Love]... you've got him all the way that thirty eight [Monangai]... He's ECR of twenty from jam all the way at thirty four [Stevenson]... you've got him all the way the forty four [Woody Marks]... He's forty one. But you've got him all the way at twenty eight [Allgeier]**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 87.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Breece Hall to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Breece Hall
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Joe Mixon to move to Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Joe Mixon, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/breece-hall
- Joe Mixon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joe-mixon
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 23.81)
- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Houston Texans: Outside of his spread picks, Rosenthal referenced his season-long pick of the Texans to win the Super Bowl and said he expects Houston to beat the Colts on Sunday. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2fb84ac9-889f-4649-8c4d-f170f7b65f66 (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Houston Texans: Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac (scored 40.48)
- Jared Dubin on Houston Texans: Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263 (scored 45.24)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0)
- Steve Kubitza on Za'Darius Smith: Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54fca826-8644-4e76-bc3f-5d8d44bcca23 (scored 100)
- Mary Kay Cabot on Za'Darius Smith: Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb50e55-cb33-43c3-a427-d47904beb7bb (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Austin Ekeler: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0)
- Adam Carlson on J.J. McCarthy: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 100)
- Greg Auman on J.J. McCarthy: Auman argues no quarterback is likely to replicate Sam Darnold's turnaround this season, but names five candidates. He expects Miami to hold a very high pick in the 2027 draft, and thinks J.J. McCarthy will eventually be traded for a late-round pick or cut by the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9b8eb78e-ddfa-4274-ac8f-17b069e6b87f (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson