# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitz avoids Quinshon Judkins at his mid-fifth-round price given the injury, weak Browns offense and remade line, and fades Rico Dowdle, predicting Jaylen Warren is Pittsburgh's primary back with Dowdle in a smaller role.

**Claimed:** Aug 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/fantasy-football-do-not-draft-list-5-players-to-avoid-2026/

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 2 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

> My money is on Warren as Pittsburgh’s primary running back this year, and it’s possible Dowdle has a smaller role than some expect.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (the middle of the fifth round)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rico Dowdle to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rico Dowdle, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (RB32, 86th overall)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rico Dowdle, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Quinshon Judkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quinshon-judkins
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Rico Dowdle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rico-dowdle
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Jaylen Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-warren

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Cleveland Browns: Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb02dfa-79dd-43a1-87d8-db7e5140af6c (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on Drew Allar: A CBS Sports piece lays out Pittsburgh's quarterback pecking order: Aaron Rodgers starts, Mason Rudolph is the No. 2, rookie Drew Allar sits at No. 3 and Will Howard is fourth, with the Steelers expected to keep all four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster rather than trading Howard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4af69b53-867a-4e1f-8e7d-7f699e4ed649 (scored 100)
- Nick Pedone on Isaiah Bond: Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7401a6b-fdaf-4d71-84f3-d96262d88dcd (scored 100)
- Jack Markowski on Will Howard: Markowski writes that Howard now appears locked into the 53-man roster, that Pittsburgh is unlikely to move Rudolph, and that Rudolph has the inside track to be the backup behind Aaron Rodgers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1085a04c-1453-40e5-ad1f-1d1573417b37 (scored 100)
- Nick Pedone on K.C. Concepcion: Reading the Browns' first depth chart, Pedone projects Deshaun Watson as the Week 1 starting quarterback, lays out the full projected starting offensive line with Parker Brailsford as backup center, expects KT Leveston to make the roster as guard depth, and names Jeudy, Concepcion, Boston and Bond as roster locks with Tylan Wallace as the fifth receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ad89afe-570a-4067-b536-6940a8533619 (scored 100)
- Kevin Patra on Mason Rudolph: Patra argues the Steelers are increasingly likely to keep four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster, with Mason Rudolph and third-round pick Drew Allar both safe, leaving Will Howard's spot as the only real question. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d2a53ae-b642-4021-9718-b3ab8e83c9b0 (scored 100)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Fox Sports on Michael Penix Jr.: Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a90e69a8-707f-43e9-a63e-cdb3e7bd0829 (scored 100)
- Rich Hribar on Tua Tagovailoa: Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/124ac755-a942-4382-8bad-177da7f8170d (scored 0)
- Bradley Locker on Carson Wentz: PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3716f21-0488-4fc8-a414-c25c2d781a6e (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Michael Penix Jr.: In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1000d8d0-5de1-405e-b8ce-255cde75a32d (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Chris McClellan: Huber's first Packers rookie progress report projects second-round cornerback Brandon Cisse to hold onto his spot with the No. 1 defense, third-round defensive tackle Chris McClellan to start in Week 1, and fifth-round lineman Jager Burton to be the team's top interior backup rather than a starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcf9daae-b511-490c-b438-173cf91e8597 (scored 0)
- Rich Hribar on Malik Willis: Hribar previews the Week 1 Dolphins-Raiders game, calling Malik Willis a strong floor-based QB2 for fantasy, noting Kirk Cousins is the Raiders' starter and not a Week 1 streamer in 1QB leagues, and listing expected defensive starters for both teams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0ff48079-418b-4d5a-9eb2-6e66b0e6f6e1 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-fitzmaurice