# Pete Prisco: Prisco picks every Week 5 game with a final score, including a Cowboys blowout of Tampa Bay on Thursday night, a Packers upset of the Bears, a Jaguars win over a banged-up Eagles team in London, and a Rams shootout win over Buffalo on Monday night.

**Claimed:** Oct 7, 2026
**Pundit:** Pete Prisco — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/pete-priscos-week-5-nfl-picks-odds/

15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 15 have settled, averaging 67.1 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> The Packers win it in an upset.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Rams 34 — Bills 33**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–33 calls a closer game (Rams by 1) and more points (67). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Detroit Lions 40 — Cardinals 31**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 64.29 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 40–31 calls a bigger Lions win (by 9) and more points (71). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Chargers 23 — Broncos 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 36.48 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 23–17 calls a Chargers win (by 6; the line gave the Chargers 37%) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 24 — Falcons 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–17 calls a Ravens win (by 7; the line gave the Ravens 39%) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks 28 — 49ers 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 28–21 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and more points (49). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots 28 — Raiders 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 4) and more points (52). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings 24 — Saints 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 7) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Giants 26 — Commanders 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 70.24 out of 100, against 72.91 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 26–24 calls a Giants win (by 2; the line gave the Giants 38%) and more points (50). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 23 — Titans 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 59.52 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 23–17 calls a closer game (Texans by 6) and more points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Jets 20 — Browns 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 90.19 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Jets win (by 4) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers 27 — Bears 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–24 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 47%) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Dolphins 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 23–13 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 10) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers 33 — Colts 23**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 33–23 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 10) and more points (56). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Eagles 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 76.19 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 28–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 12) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys 34 — Bucs 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 21.43 out of 100, against 32.2 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 8, 2026): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 34–14 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 20) and fewer points (48). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys

## What others said about the same people

- Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0)
- Adam Carlson on Jordan Addison: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62)
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0)
- Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100)
- Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24)
- Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Buffalo Bills: Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on Buffalo Bills: Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6adf08dd-972d-4cce-b6b8-8212332b191e (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029d282f-2740-4c4d-af36-07a93d65eb65 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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