# Jared Dubin: Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though they expect several of them to stay close.

**Claimed:** Sep 17, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-2-picks-lions-bills-bengals-texans/

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 70.7 out of 100, against 58.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I lean toward the Bills for the win in the debut of their new stadium, but I like the Lions to keep it close enough that the Bills don't cover the spread.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 71.43 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 21, 2026): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 27 — Saints 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 32.1 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Ravens by 8.5, total 45.5 · this 27–20 calls a closer game (Ravens by 7) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs 21 — Colts 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 91.63 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Chiefs by 6, total 46.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 4) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos 24 — Jaguars 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 82.1 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Broncos by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 3) and fewer points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 78.57 out of 100, against 58.29 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 21–13 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 8) and fewer points (34). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 26 — Bengals 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 21.43 out of 100, against 15.44 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 26–24 calls a closer game (Texans by 2) and more points (50). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 31**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 85.71 out of 100, against 79.41 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 17, 2026): Bills by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 35–31 calls a closer game (Bills by 4) and more points (66). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)
- Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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