# Todd McShay: McShay argued that the much-criticized college quarterback class will produce NFL talent, saying Arch Manning, Sam Leavitt and LaNorris Sellers would all be first-round picks if they declared, and that Nico Iamaleava would likely go late in the first round.

**Claimed:** Nov 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Todd McShay — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/todd-mcshay
**Outlet:** The McShay Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-mcshay-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/GLT9680434593.mp3

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

> I promise you if Arch comes out, he's gonna be a first round pick.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Arch Manning to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam Leavitt to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sam Leavitt
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **LaNorris Sellers to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: LaNorris Sellers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Iamaleava to be picked “probably going late one”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Nico Iamaleava
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Sam Leavitt — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-leavitt
- LaNorris Sellers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lanorris-sellers
- Nico Iamaleava — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-iamaleava

## What others said about the same people

- Kyle Crabbs on Arch Manning: In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/851c6bce-ef17-4f39-8c0f-58744c8d8f72 (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Arch Manning: Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/131d5e9e-fb6e-4065-b724-39f59b1083a6 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Arch Manning: Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2baf62d9-875a-4021-b4ba-f8e02158c8bb (scored 0)
- Brady Quinn on Arch Manning: Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/93e9a9eb-9946-49bd-a51b-8581c0e21b09 (scored 0)
- Charlie Campbell on LaNorris Sellers: In his 2027 NFL Mock Draft, Campbell projects the second round (picks 33-64), naming a specific prospect for each selection, including Duce Robinson to Miami at 35 and LaNorris Sellers to Minnesota at 64. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/adf32308-8f1b-4902-84a4-02494687f80f (not settled)
- Steve Muench on Arch Manning: Muench suggested that Texas quarterback Arch Manning and Ole Miss quarterback Austin Simmons could both end up as first-round NFL draft picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5011f2f3-f169-4fe7-851a-489949ee2436 (not settled)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected him as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of his own from the 2024 pre-draft period, he suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if he declares. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in his 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=todd-mcshay
