# Ethan Hurwitz: Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5. **Claimed:** Aug 15, 2026 **Pundit:** Ethan Hurwitz — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz **Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/patriots/onsi/predicting-patriots-53-man-roster-after-preseason-opener-which-rookies-stay 57 checkable claims — 53 roster spot calls and 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 54 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 41 of 57 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 82.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I still believe that the Patriots will roll with six receivers and not seven. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tanner Arkin to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tanner Arkin, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tommy DeVito to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tommy DeVito, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Julian Ashby to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Julian Ashby, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Christian Barmore to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Barmore, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Dell Pettus to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Dell Pettus, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Marcus Jones to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Marcus Jones, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **DeMario Douglas to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: DeMario Douglas, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Christian Gonzalez to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Gonzalez, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Christian Elliss to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Elliss, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Cory Durden to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Cory Durden, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Dre'Mont Jones to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Dre'Mont Jones, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Joshua Farmer to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Joshua Farmer, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Mack Hollins to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mack Hollins, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Elijah Ponder to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Elijah Ponder, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Morgan Moses to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Morgan Moses, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Carlton Davis III to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Carlton Davis III, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Andy Borregales to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Andy Borregales, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kevin Byard to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kevin Byard, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Behren Morton to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Behren Morton, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kyle Williams to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kyle Williams, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Robert Spillane to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Robert Spillane, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Caleb Lomu, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Gabe Jacas to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Gabe Jacas, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Leonard Taylor III to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Leonard Taylor III, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **A.J. Brown to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Reggie Gilliam to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Reggie Gilliam, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Romeo Doubs to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Romeo Doubs, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Alijah Vera-Tucker to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Alijah Vera-Tucker, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Ben Brown to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Ben Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Craig Woodson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Craig Woodson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Karon Prunty to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Karon Prunty, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Will Campbell to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Will Campbell, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jared Wilson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jared Wilson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Hunter Henry to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Hunter Henry, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Milton Williams to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Milton Williams, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Rhamondre Stevenson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Eli Raridon to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Eli Raridon, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Efton Chism III to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Efton Chism III, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Mike Onwenu to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mike Onwenu, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Mike Brown to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mike Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kindle Vildor to be 5th on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kindle Vildor, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bradyn Swinson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bradyn Swinson, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chad Muma to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chad Muma, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bryce Baringer to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bryce Baringer, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Karon Prunty to be 4th on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Karon Prunty, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Reggie Gilliam to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Reggie Gilliam, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jam Miller to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jam Miller, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **James Hudson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: James Hudson, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Andrew Rupcich to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Andrew Rupcich, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jam Miller to be 3rd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jam Miller, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Marcus Bryant to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Marcus Bryant, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Harold Landry III to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Harold Landry III, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Khalil Jacobs to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Khalil Jacobs, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kindle Vildor to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kindle Vildor, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Brenden Schooler to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brenden Schooler, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Tanner Arkin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tanner-arkin - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tommy DeVito — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tommy-devito - Julian Ashby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/julian-ashby - Christian Barmore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-barmore - Dell Pettus — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dell-pettus - Marcus Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marcus-jones - DeMario Douglas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas - Christian Gonzalez — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-gonzalez - Christian Elliss — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss - Cory Durden — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cory-durden - Dre'Mont Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dre-mont-jones - Joshua Farmer — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joshua-farmer - Mack Hollins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mack-hollins - Elijah Ponder — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - Morgan Moses — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/morgan-moses - Carlton Davis III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carlton-davis-iii - Andy Borregales — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/andy-borregales - Kevin Byard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kevin-byard - Behren Morton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/behren-morton - Kyle Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyle-williams - Robert Spillane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/robert-spillane - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Gabe Jacas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/gabe-jacas - Leonard Taylor III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/leonard-taylor-iii - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - Reggie Gilliam — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/reggie-gilliam - Romeo Doubs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/romeo-doubs - Alijah Vera-Tucker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alijah-vera-tucker - Ben Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ben-brown - Craig Woodson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/craig-woodson - Karon Prunty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/karon-prunty - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - Will Campbell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-campbell - Jared Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jared-wilson - Hunter Henry — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry - Milton Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/milton-williams - Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson - Eli Raridon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/eli-raridon - Efton Chism III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/efton-chism-iii - Mike Onwenu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-onwenu - Mike Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-brown-9699 - Kindle Vildor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kindle-vildor - Bradyn Swinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bradyn-swinson - Chad Muma — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chad-muma - Bryce Baringer — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bryce-baringer - Jam Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jam-miller - James Hudson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-hudson - Andrew Rupcich — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/andrew-rupcich - Marcus Bryant — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marcus-bryant - Harold Landry III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/harold-landry-iii - Khalil Jacobs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/khalil-jacobs - Brenden Schooler — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brenden-schooler ## What others said about the same people - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) - Chris Broussard on New England Patriots: Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dee7585c-6da6-4afc-9954-ff32cf8de4e3 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on New England Patriots: In the winners-only chips segment Parkins backed the Patriots over the Jaguars, the Bengals over the Steelers and the Ravens over the Cowboys in Brazil. He also said New England has a real shot at a top-10 defense and that Kayshon/Romeo Dobbs will be the Patriots' number one target. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88f60b41-3824-4b00-b0f0-f434c55c539b (scored 0) - Mark Wahlberg on New England Patriots: Wahlberg went game-by-game through the Patriots' schedule and predicted a 14-3 season, with losses only at Buffalo, to the Lions in Germany, and at Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2 (scored 0) - Nathan Jahnke on Efton Chism III: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Kyle Williams: An unsigned PFF fantasy preseason recap makes a series of depth-chart and roster-spot calls: Roman Wilson wins the Steelers' third receiver job over Germie Bernard, Robert Tonyan makes Pittsburgh's roster as the third tight end, Kyle Williams and Efton Chism III stick in New England, Mike Washington Jr. is the Raiders' primary backup back, Jalen Nailor stays a Raiders starter, Kaelon Black leads the 49ers' backup running back competition, and Charlie Kolar is the Chargers' top tight end with top-12 fantasy upside. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e9e8a675-165c-4246-a19c-eec9f5dfccf4 (scored 100) ## More roster spot calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeff Kerr on Zach Ertz: Kerr expects Zach Ertz to be elevated from the practice squad and play in the Eagles' Week 3 Monday night game against the Bears, and to serve as Philadelphia's clear TE1 with Dallas Goedert out. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e4fa8de-f88c-4d45-b568-49992a356539 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 100) - Carter Bahns on Jeshaun Jones: A CBS Sports piece expects suspended Vikings receiver Jeshaun Jones to lose his roster battle and be cut by the Aug. 30 deadline, given Minnesota's established receiver group. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98c7155f-d05c-43cb-8c03-4f50d43211a8 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr's third Eagles 53-man roster projection names the players he expects to make the team at each position, with Cole Payton, Elijah Moore, Johnny Wilson, Gabe Hall and Rocco Underwood left off; he also predicts Underwood is exposed to waivers and returns to the practice squad, Deontae Lawson lands on the practice squad, and Eli Stowers is the TE3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2120c4ea-7113-4ebf-9ebc-0d4a62d83c3a (scored 100) - Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/328a952b-d6b4-4065-aac9-0029421fb50f (scored 100) - Ralph Ventre on Christian Benford: Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94b844fe-bb22-4517-81f5-6263eb0213f1 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ethan-hurwitz