# Saagar Enjeti: In the show's final midterm predictions, he called a Republican House with a net gain of about 25 seats, and picked Republicans in nearly every competitive Senate race: Walker (after a runoff) in Georgia, Laxalt in Nevada, Masters in Arizona, Bolduc in New Hampshire, Vance in Ohio, Johnson in Wisconsin, the Republican in North Carolina, and Oz in Pennsylvania. **Claimed:** Nov 7, 2022 **Pundit:** Saagar Enjeti — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/saagar-enjeti **Outlet:** Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/e7fd5ae7-7621-4e41-9b85-b0ab0164b634/54016753-cb8b-40ea-9382-b0ac0001eac7/audio.mp3?in_playlist=4c1a5135-4197-47c9-b19b-b0ab0164b667 10 checkable claims — 6 race winners, 2 race margins, 1 control of congres and 1 seat count — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. All 10 have settled, averaging 56.4 out of 100, against 71.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna say R plus twenty five. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **do you have any guests of the margin? I'm gonna say R plus twenty five... I'm shamelessly stealing that from the Coco political way. And also, what's Kyle condyck of where Crystal ball they both have the same thing.** - Kind: Seat Counts - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess - **How about Pennsylvania. I'm gonna go with oz Man at the conqueror.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Okay, New Hampshire. It's a tough one. I'm just gonna say, Brian Baldock, I'm betting on the Red we** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **So, first of all, the House is going Republican obviously** - Kind: Control of Congress - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Wisconsin, Ron Johnson is going to hang on. They're not particularly close.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Ohio jd Vance is going to win. It's not going to be particularly close.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Nevada, I'm still going to go with Adam Laxalt even after John Ralston's predictions... I think Laksolt will pull it out by maybe one point or something like that.** - Kind: Race Margins - Verdict: scored 82.2 out of 100, against 92.2 for a naive guess - **I think you will win narrowly by like one or two percentage points** - Kind: Race Margins - Verdict: scored 61.9 out of 100, against 71.9 for a naive guess - **Georgia, I think Herschel Walker's is gonna win... No, I don't think he'll avoid a runoff... and that ultimately will probably prevail on the runoff** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **North Carolina is another one that sort of is in that realm, same thing. I think the Republican holds on and wins there** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess ## More race winners The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jim Geraghty: Geraghty said Republicans would clearly win the House, but with a majority in the twenties rather than a 40-50 seat wave, and that the GOP would take the Senate by about one seat. He called Budd, Vance and Johnson winners in their Senate races, Kiggans a winner in Virginia's 2nd, Fetterman the likely winner in Pennsylvania, Laxalt the safer GOP bet in Nevada, and liked Walker's odds in a Georgia runoff. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2 (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly predicted Republicans would win control of the House, that Ron Johnson would hold Wisconsin given Mandela Barnes' record on crime, and that JD Vance would win in Ohio. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ae01889-13b0-43e6-bcbd-c98a82a5aa04 (scored 100) - Tom Bevan: Bevan said Republicans would still take the House and would win the Senate by a margin of one or two seats, that Oz would fall short in Pennsylvania, and gave expected winning margins of roughly eight points for Vance in Ohio, about five for Budd in North Carolina, and a very narrow Walker edge in Georgia. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3baef536-0bff-435d-8c59-9af2c6b32384 (scored 100) - Dennis Prager: Asked who a Georgia Senate runoff would favor, Prager said it would favor Herschel Walker, because the contest would effectively be about control of the Senate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6edcea42-561f-4932-9aa1-761bb11f097e (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly said the worst case for Republicans was taking only the House, predicted Lee Zeldin would win the New York governor's race, and agreed the New Hampshire Republican Senate candidate would win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94649f86-1d80-4f9c-9505-04d0e4337f71 (scored 0) - Matt Continetti: Continetti forecast a big Republican night: a House gain of 20 to 30 seats or more and three to four Senate pickups, with Ron DeSantis reelected in Florida. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c895a63-b14d-4946-9ead-fdf2d6e76521 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=saagar-enjeti