# Shannon Sharpe: Sharpe said the rookie running back's stated goal of 1,500 rushing yards is realistic and very doable, but doubted 20 touchdowns, putting them closer to 10-12 rushing scores.

**Claimed:** May 27, 2025
**Pundit:** Shannon Sharpe — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe
**Outlet:** Nightcap (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nightcap-with-unc-ocho/nightcap-hour-2-kirk-cousins-to-steelers-ashton-jeantys-rookie-prediction

2 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 15 out of 100, against 42.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Ashton Jeanty to record 10 rushing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Ashton Jeanty
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 85.37 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to record 1,500 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Ashton Jeanty
  - Verdict: scored 30 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty

## What others said about the same people

- Kyle Crabbs on Ashton Jeanty: Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e8a40874-e85c-44ec-a4c8-b6f0edbd22d2 (scored 100)
- Kyle Crabbs on Ashton Jeanty: In their final 2025 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and Travis Hunter to the Browns at No. 2, and including projected trades involving the Bears/Jaguars and a Giants move back into the late first round for Jaxson Dart. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/59fd8433-f3b9-496d-ac9b-0dfd67a55367 (scored 95.76)
- Colin Cowherd on Ashton Jeanty: Cowherd delivered their own top-15 draft board — what they would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d3f1be7-f506-422a-af38-e6e32088f3e5 (scored 100)
- Mel Kiper on Ashton Jeanty: Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ff6ed02d-d1cd-419b-b56d-2f77a71f4d31 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Ashton Jeanty: Rosenthal made the even-numbered picks in the mock, taking Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and finishing with Mason Taylor to the Eagles at 32, including Shedeur Sanders sliding to the Rams at 26. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/157c2ad8-0631-4e01-8c8f-c3fd0ce131a8 (scored 84.09)
- Nick Baumgardner on Ashton Jeanty: The Athletic's draft analyst laid out a full slate of expectations for the upcoming NFL Draft: Abdul Carter to Tennessee at No. 1, Shedeur Sanders falling to the back half of the first or top of the second, Ashton Jeanty as a top-10 pick, Travis Hunter as the class's best player going in the top five, and only two quarterbacks plus fewer than three running backs but more than three receivers taken in Round 1. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e514a61d-cfb8-432c-8393-35237a2314d4 (scored 100)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Andrew Erickson on James Cook: Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac (scored 66.67)
- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Chris Broussard on Myles Garrett: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 91.67)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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