# Nick Wright: In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins. **Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://pdrl.fm/91be81/podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/9ce11dad-e86a-444f-ba83-ae27003475be/fc9f75c7-45ea-443f-9114-b4b9000e04f3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=deff018f-4b51-4501-937c-ae27003475d1 16 checkable claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 4. > And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: too vague to check - **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Denver Broncos to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8–9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Houston Texans to finish with 10–17 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Buffalo Bills to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Los Angeles Chargers: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) - John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60) - Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Carolina Panthers: Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bf1a843e-6b29-497e-b58c-b8394d790374 (scored 100) - JP Acosta on New York Giants: Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b (scored 40) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright