# Nick Wright: In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins. **Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://pdrl.fm/91be81/podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/9ce11dad-e86a-444f-ba83-ae27003475be/fc9f75c7-45ea-443f-9114-b4b9000e04f3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=deff018f-4b51-4501-937c-ae27003475d1 16 claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — the 15 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of the 15 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls. The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded. Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 6. > And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - “I think the Bengals win eight, nine games. I'm under 10 and a half.” - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: too vague to check - **Denver Broncos to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8–9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Houston Texans to finish with 10–17 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Buffalo Bills to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0) - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Gregg Rosenthal on Dallas Cowboys: Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a11f697d-1616-4bbe-9b7f-5bde7c6653ea (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on Detroit Lions: Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7fd60c68-daca-4b01-92cb-4ec7f89c6722 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Las Vegas Raiders: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fb10c9f-9ceb-4be5-a8eb-c15baf405f23 (scored 0) - Jason McIntyre on Atlanta Falcons: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading them as a Day 3 prospect. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/702206c9-db9c-4936-bb12-4b5815ecc541 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rosenthal predicted Armand Membu could go to the Jets at No. 7, expects Josh Simmons to be picked in the first round despite injury and character concerns, and floated Donovan Jackson going to a team like the Patriots at the top of the second round. On win totals they leaned over on the Jets, Buccaneers, Lions and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c421a43a-b5d2-4155-89b9-098d12139959 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright