# Jaime Eisner: A seven-round Jets mock draft projecting New York to take Ohio State's Arvell Reese at No. 2 and Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson at No. 16, followed by Ty Simpson, Brandon Cisse, Jalon Kilgore, Tyreak Sapp, Kaelon Black, Fernando Carmona and Trebor Pena.

**Claimed:** Mar 31, 2026
**Pundit:** Jaime Eisner — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jaime-eisner
**Outlet:** The Draft Network — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-draft-network
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.thedraftnetwork.com/2026/03/31/jets-7-round-nfl-mock-draft-mar-2026

10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 37.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> The Jets are rebuilding their defense from the ground up, and Arvell Reese can be a cornerstone.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Kaelon Black to be picked at number 179**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kaelon Black, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 2.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 50**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brandon Cisse
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Carmona to be picked at number 228**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Carmona, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 2.41 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Trebor Pena to be picked at number 242**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trebor Pena, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jalon Kilgore to be picked at number 103**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jalon Kilgore, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 6.25 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Tyreak Sapp to be picked at number 140**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tyreak Sapp, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 44**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brandon Cisse, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 33**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 42.04 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Kaelon Black — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaelon-black
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Brandon Cisse — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brandon-cisse
- Fernando Carmona — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-carmona
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Trebor Pena — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trebor-pena
- Jalon Kilgore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalon-kilgore
- Tyreak Sapp — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreak-sapp
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson

## What others said about the same people

- Kevin Wildes on New York Jets: For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/35bc2cfa-9927-43ce-be97-5c73bb6517fd (scored 0)
- Patricia Traina on Arvell Reese: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100)
- Jacob Westendorf on Brandon Cisse: In his final 53-man roster projection for the Packers, Westendorf names every player he expects to make the initial roster, places Luke Musgrave and Micah Parsons on PUP, projects Anthony Campbell as the final cut headed to the practice squad, and sets out several depth-chart calls (Love over Taylor, Jacobs as the bell cow, Franklin/Cooper starting at linebacker, Cox and Dennis-Sutton as the No. 2 edge tandem in Week 1). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60a297eb-a1a6-4929-a589-40cb7119463c (scored 100)
- Bill Huber on Brandon Cisse: Ahead of final cuts, Huber assigns Packers players probability tiers for making the 53-man roster, calling 40 players locks and another 12 more likely than not to stick, while projecting Keisean Nixon as a Week 1 starting cornerback, Tyrod Taylor as the backup QB, Skyy Moore as the returner, and Micah Parsons, Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley opening the season on PUP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252e49be-50e8-48d2-91e2-b5e540d78adc (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Jalon Kilgore: Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95db61d4-3514-4d17-aa02-ed56a31ecabf (scored 100)
- Joe Marino on Jalon Kilgore: Joe Marino gives his final projection of the Buffalo Bills' initial 53-man roster after the preseason finale, naming who makes it, who gets cut, and who lands on injured reserve/PUP, along with several starting-job calls (Kyle Allen as QB2, TJ Sanders starting over Landon Jackson, Maxwell Hairston starting opposite Christian Benford, and Tommy Doman winning the punting job). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65f0752f-5147-4476-be34-4909b3c44bc8 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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