# Nick Wright: Wright predicted a high-scoring Chiefs win over the Raiders around 31-24, forecast a Bills blowout of the Patriots (31-13) with Jacksonville winning outright at Cincinnati, restated their Eagles Super Bowl pick (built on an expectation they'd have the NFL's No. 1 defense), and said Joey Porter Jr. will end up signing roughly a $30 million-a-year deal in Dallas. They also laid out their Mahomes Mountain quarterback board. **Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM1460523642.mp3 6 checkable claims — 2 score predictions, 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick, 1 position group finish and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 68.3 out of 100, against 30.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I think this is a high scoring Chiefs in control affair, thirty one twenty four type of game that the Chiefs win. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Buffalo Bills 31 — Patriots 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 14.29 out of 100, against 45.24 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Bills win (by 18) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Cincinnati Bengals** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bengals by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Raiders 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 45.24 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Chiefs by 4.5, total 47.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 7) and more points (55). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Joey Porter Jr. to stay with Dallas Cowboys** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Joey Porter Jr., Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet - **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Philadelphia Eagles defense to be the best in the league** - Kind: Position Group Finish · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Joey Porter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joey-porter-jr - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles ## What others said about the same people - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) - Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100) - Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Josh Downs: Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c94482-ef71-413f-834b-2a246271691d (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright