# Cynthia Frelund: Frelund presented her top-10 fantasy quarterback rankings for the season, headed by Josh Allen with Joe Burrow second, and added Jared Goff at No. 11. She also predicted 11 wins for the 49ers, that Burrow leads the league in passing touchdowns (possibly up to 50), and expects improvement/surprises from the Raiders and Patriots.

**Claimed:** Jul 22, 2025
**Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-tuesday-hour-1-dallas-cowboys-expectations-micah-parsons-contract-top-10-fantasy-football-qbs

6 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 player season number, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.8 out of 100, against 18.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> This guy is number one last season, He'll be number one next season until he's not the rushing plus passing capabilities of Josh Allen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 55 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 20.05 for a naive guess
- **Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess
- **Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **New England Patriots to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Joe Burrow — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joe-burrow
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on San Francisco 49ers: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 88.1)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Cincinnati Bengals: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

## More surprise team calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Ruiz expects the Texans to repeat last year's turnaround, saying their defense and schedule will let them pile up wins and stay in the playoff race all season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84c05549-aa98-4b8f-bd94-27488a1c96c5 (not settled)
- Henry McKenna on Houston Texans: McKenna picks the Texans as the 0-2 team most likely to recover, favoring them over the Buccaneers because he believes the AFC South is weaker than the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7c64a8d3-6136-424d-96b2-bab3dc7d0345 (not settled)
- Ben Arthur on Houston Texans: Arthur also lands on the Texans, arguing their defense will return to elite form and a soft upcoming stretch will get Houston's season back on track. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8131936c-517d-4816-b2be-3e5d5963c6e5 (not settled)
- Eric Williams on Los Angeles Chargers: Williams picks the Chargers as the 0-2 team to rebound, comparing it to the 2017 team that started 0-4 and finished 9-7, and suggests they will rise up on the road against Buffalo rather than collapse. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57fe59dc-bfbb-44cb-8e4c-191db478fce2 (not settled)
- Greg Auman on Houston Texans: Auman names the Texans as the 0-2 team best positioned to turn their season around and get back into the playoff race, citing their history of slow starts and an elite defense. He also references his preseason pick of the Chargers to win the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2750172c-b4c1-453e-be5a-b9fae156aa5b (not settled)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Indianapolis Colts: Vacchiano picks the Colts over the Texans as the 0-2 team most likely to rebound, trusting their offense with Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor to keep them in the playoff race. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b89c2f84-25e6-4916-b297-fcb0e14c9ba7 (not settled)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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