# Jason Fitz: Fitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term.

**Claimed:** Nov 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Jason Fitz — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jason-fitz
**Outlet:** Fox Sports Radio (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/551c44d9-d7e8-4da3-bacd-ae2e0038717f/2a8e1068-de6c-4d3d-a312-b4f50001b1b7/audio.mp3?in_playlist=be0668fc-1028-4ce5-80eb-ae2e00387188

5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 draft bust call, 1 game outcome pick, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Joe Burrow is going to end up being the NFL MVP.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Tennessee Titans to pick at number 1**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Cam Ward to disappoint at the next level**
  - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Charlie Becker to be picked “a high first-round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Charlie Becker
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Joe Burrow to win NFL MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Charlie Becker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/charlie-becker
- Joe Burrow — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joe-burrow
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Cincinnati Bengals: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 88.1)
- Derek Brown on Cincinnati Bengals: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Eric Mangini on Cincinnati Bengals: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Cincinnati Bengals: Previewing the Bengals-Falcons game in Madrid, Eisen expects Cincinnati to fall behind by two scores before Joe Burrow brings them back to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1814997c-9222-4ccd-85dc-fb144339b45f (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Cincinnati Bengals: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Cincinnati Bengals: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 64.29)

## More draft bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Buck Reising on Anthony Richardson: Discussing the NFL trade deadline, Reising argued Anthony Richardson will not be out of the league after his rookie deal, saying the fourth overall pick's career to this point qualifies as a massive bust. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d931bf9b-2732-4f6b-ab90-d6d17aaf7eac (not settled)
- Carter Bahns on Ashton Jeanty: Bahns predicts Ashton Jeanty's role in Las Vegas will continue to shrink, with Mike Washington Jr. functioning as a co-starter/early-down back while Jeanty becomes a receiving-game specialist rather than the every-down featured back he was drafted to be. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ebc5009a-aaec-483a-8b72-b2005466bf45 (not settled)
- Hanford Dixon on Dillon Gabriel: Dixon said the Browns wasted a third-round pick on Dillon Gabriel, arguing he can be a decent NFL backup but not in Cleveland, and that Shedeur Sanders would be the quarterback to step in if Deshaun Watson were hurt. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ea3f186f-d9c4-4edd-a3db-8bf99027eff8 (not settled)
- Carter Bahns on Anthony Richardson: Reviewing the moves that led to Chris Ballard's firing, Bahns judges Anthony Richardson, taken No. 4 overall in 2023, a bust who has failed to justify his first-round draft slot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/489587cb-b95b-436f-afe7-1eb547833faf (not settled)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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