# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan flags five Week 9 underdogs he expects to pull upsets: the Packers at New England, the Vikings over Buffalo, the winless Chargers over Houston, the Panthers over Denver, and the Falcons over Cincinnati in Madrid.

**Claimed:** Nov 5, 2026
**Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-9-upset-alert-texans-chargers-vikings-bills/

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> With a potentially limited cast around Maye, Green Bay's strength could end up winning the day and the game.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Green Bay Packers to beat New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Chargers to beat Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Texans by 5.5 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 3 (33%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Atlanta Falcons to beat Cincinnati Bengals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Bengals by 3 · underdog pick, Falcons 38%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons

## What others said about the same people

- Parker Hurley on Jessie Bates: Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e8279a5-fad4-4c61-9646-0809bdcdaf40 (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Green Bay Packers: Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs he expects in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. He also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest he'll ever sign. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fbf1f78-2f2a-49cf-8052-89897c9a1ff8 (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on Seattle Seahawks: Orr picks Seattle to beat Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09b4853b-c80a-445c-ba25-063ac28c86f5 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=tyler-sullivan
