# Jared Dubin: Dubin picked Seattle, Jacksonville, Chicago, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Green Bay and San Francisco with final scores in Week 6, and expected Denver to be without Patrick Surtain II. **Claimed:** Oct 15, 2026 **Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin **Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-6-picks-experts-on-seahawks-broncos-ravens-browns/ 8 checkable claims — 7 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 57.8 out of 100, against 63.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > If he does, I think the Ravens win this game by a lot. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **San Francisco 49ers 27 — Commanders 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 86.23 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 19, 2026): 49ers by 7.5, total 51.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Green Bay Packers 33 — Cowboys 28** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 76.55 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 33–28 calls a Packers win (by 5; the line gave the Packers 49%) and more points (61). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Texans 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 42.86 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 4) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Baltimore Ravens 31 — Browns 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 92.86 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 39.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 17) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Philadelphia Eagles 20 — Panthers 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 30.95 out of 100, against 23.81 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 20–17 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 41%) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears 23 — Falcons 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 30.95 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 38.1 out of 100, against 93.6 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 15, 2026): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - “Denver is also still banged up defensively and likely won't have Patrick Surtain II here (Thursday night vs. Seattle)” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Pat Surtain II, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Pat Surtain II — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/pat-surtain-ii - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos ## What others said about the same people - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100) - Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-dubin