# Nate Tice: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and their Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. They also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.

**Claimed:** Sep 17, 2026
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/7e76f892-045a-457e-bb9a-f14176174337/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=7e76f892-045a-457e-bb9a-f14176174337&feed=Nvy5cWFT

8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 67.7 out of 100, against 54.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think the cowboys drop a 40 burger on the commanders.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots to beat Steelers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Patriots by 4.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Vikings**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Bears by 4.5 · favorite pick, Bears about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Texans 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 73.81 out of 100, against 18.75 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 20–17 calls a Bengals win (by 3; the line gave the Bengals 43%) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 21, 2026): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 72%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys to score 40 against commanders**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 61.61 for a naive guess
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 43%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Abdul Carter to make All-Pro**
  - Kind: Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants

## What others said about the same people

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/08184feb-e542-42cf-8898-8074d73513d7 (scored 42.86)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Gilberto Manzano on Washington Commanders: Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84ac6f54-01af-44ab-b97a-f742b2aa3d39 (scored 100)
- Brooke Cersosimo on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e232a51e-7f06-4868-8d19-152de27a5e7a (scored 100)
- Gennaro Filice on Minnesota Vikings: Picks the Vikings to beat the Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1f3a227b-9fea-4203-9803-86bbb5d42752 (scored 0)
- Moe Moton on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/faee3995-24ba-47fc-8279-a426896c8cc6 (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f0662e6-e638-4fb5-a807-939dcf32b5ec (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice
