# Matt Verderame: Verderame picked all 14 Week 6 games, including the Jaguars in London, the Saints over the Giants and the Eagles over the Panthers.

**Claimed:** Oct 15, 2026
**Pundit:** Matt Verderame — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/week-6-picks-staff-expert-predictions

14 checkable claims — 14 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

## The claims

- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 19, 2026): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Chiefs by 7.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (79%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Steelers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 56%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 52%, Falcons 48%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Panthers by 3 · underdog pick, Eagles 41%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New Orleans Saints to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots to beat Jets**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Jaguars by 2.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars 56%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 15, 2026): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks

## What others said about the same people

- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)
- Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100)
- Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100)
- Mike Kadlick on Josh Downs: Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c94482-ef71-413f-834b-2a246271691d (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- John Pluym on New York Giants: Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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