# Jared Dubin: Dubin picked final scores for the same seven Week 5 games, including Dallas routing Tampa Bay, Jacksonville edging Philadelphia, Chicago over Green Bay, Indianapolis over Pittsburgh, Seattle over San Francisco, Atlanta over Baltimore and the Rams over Buffalo. **Claimed:** Oct 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin **Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-5-picks-buccaneers-at-cowboys-49ers-at-seahawks/ 7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 42.5 out of 100, against 53.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Dallas' offense is too much for Tampa — or anyone else — to handle. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams 28 — Bills 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and fewer points (52). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Atlanta Falcons 24 — Ravens 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 7) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks 24 — 49ers 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–21 calls the line’s margin (Seahawks by 3) and fewer points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Indianapolis Colts 20 — Steelers 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 30.95 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 20–16 calls a Colts win (by 4; the line gave the Colts 41%) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears 23 — Packers 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 3) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Eagles 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–17 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 6) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 28.57 out of 100, against 32.2 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 8, 2026): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 17) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c6097f9-30ad-42dc-863f-e507225b7edc (scored 100) - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c269ea1-7c35-4039-827d-ec1130aa0e04 (scored 100) - JP Acosta on Kirk Cousins: Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Kirk Cousins: Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3a0da31-6e2f-4298-b5a5-b887333d3fd6 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-dubin