# Patrick Claybon: Claybon picked the Ravens to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl, took the Dolphins as their Week 1 survivor pick along with liking the Bucs and Cardinals in their openers, and said Buffalo is making the playoffs.

**Claimed:** Sep 3, 2025
**Pundit:** Patrick Claybon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/patrick-claybon
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/2025-nfl-week-1-preview-and-super-bowl-picks

5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 7, 2025): Buccaneers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Buccaneers 51%, Falcons 49%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 (scored 0)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Brockman on Seattle Seahawks: Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7755a3be-efa7-417e-aefe-47d37d5fb067 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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