# Chris Brockman: Brockman opened with a series of week-one overreactions: Josh Allen repeats as MVP with Buffalo as the AFC's No. 1 seed, Bills-Ravens is both the game of the year and an AFC title game preview, Aaron Rodgers mirrors his 2021 MVP season with 40 TDs, the NFC Championship is played at Lambeau, the Colts are AFC South front runners, Cincinnati's slow start dooms them, Christian McCaffrey has a top-five MVP season, and the Chargers are the team to beat in the AFC West. **Claimed:** Sep 8, 2025 **Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman **Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP9963011897.mp3?updated=1757350153 13 checkable claims — 3 conference champions, 2 award picks, 2 division winners, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick, 1 player season number and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 11 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 12.4 out of 100, against 22.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Josh Allen is QB one. He's gonna repeat as MVP, and the Bills are the one seed in the AFC. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Buffalo Bills to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Indianapolis Colts to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Rodgers to record 40 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - **Christian McCaffrey to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Rashawn Slater to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rashawn Slater, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Green Bay Packers to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Rashawn Slater — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashawn-slater ## What others said about the same people - Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Chargers: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 0) - Chris Simms on Pittsburgh Steelers: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 14.29) - Connor Rogers on Buffalo Bills: Rogers predicted the Bills would beat the Lions in their new stadium on Thursday night, winning by a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/feddcc68-c714-4448-9a45-6679a6dbd34e (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) ## More conference champions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50) - Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100) - Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c31dff9f-7c0a-422d-9df1-e7423b9edcc8 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman