# Chris Brockman: Brockman opened with a series of week-one overreactions: Josh Allen repeats as MVP with Buffalo as the AFC's No. 1 seed, Bills-Ravens is both the game of the year and an AFC title game preview, Aaron Rodgers mirrors their 2021 MVP season with 40 TDs, the NFC Championship is played at Lambeau, the Colts are AFC South front runners, Cincinnati's slow start dooms them, Christian McCaffrey has a top-five MVP season, and the Chargers are the team to beat in the AFC West. **Claimed:** Sep 8, 2025 **Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman **Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP9963011897.mp3?updated=1757350153 13 checkable claims — 3 conference champions, 2 award picks, 2 division winners, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick, 1 player season number and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 10 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 13.7 out of 100, against 24.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Josh Allen is QB one. He's gonna repeat as MVP, and the Bills are the one seed in the AFC. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Buffalo Bills to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2025): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (68%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Indianapolis Colts to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Rodgers to record 40 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - **Rashawn Slater to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rashawn Slater, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Green Bay Packers to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian McCaffrey — MVP: top five MVP season** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Rashawn Slater — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashawn-slater - Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers ## What others said about the same people - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19) - John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9) ## More conference champions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50) - Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100) - Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c31dff9f-7c0a-422d-9df1-e7423b9edcc8 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman