# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmaurice ranks Darren Waller around TE40, touts T.J. Higgins as a low-end WR1 value, Kenneth Walker as a top-12 back if healthy, Stefon Diggs in the ninth round, Drake Maye as a QB1 finisher with big rushing upside, Luther Burden as an ADP-beater, and Javonte Williams as Dallas's lead back. **Claimed:** Jul 5, 2025 **Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/12-draft-picks-with-massive-upside-you-should-be-targeting-in-2025-ep-1603 12 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls, 3 positional finishes, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 12 have settled, averaging 44.1 out of 100, against 44.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I think Drake May is going to give us a QB one fantasy finish this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tee Higgins to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirteen, twenty nine overall)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (his mid fourth round cost)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver ECR fifty three)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Luther Burden III, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB sixteen)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (their current prices)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Darnell Mooney, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (the ninth round of drafts)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Stefon Diggs, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Javonte Williams to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to record 800 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 12.5 out of 100, against 25.8 for a naive guess - **Ray-Ray McCloud to be 3rd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ray-Ray McCloud, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Kenneth Walker III to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 25 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess - **Darren Waller to finish top 40 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Darren Waller, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Tee Higgins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tee-higgins - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Luther Burden III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/luther-burden-iii - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Darnell Mooney — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darnell-mooney - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Stefon Diggs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs - Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Ray-Ray McCloud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ray-ray-mccloud - Darren Waller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darren-waller - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Seattle Seahawks: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 30.95) - Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0) - Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Sam Monson on Seattle Seahawks: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0) - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) - Matt Harmon on Cincinnati Bengals: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-fitzmaurice