# Jason McIntyre: McIntyre gave their divisional-round picks: Buffalo over Denver in a low-scoring 17-16 game, Seattle over San Francisco in a close one, Houston to beat New England outright, and the Rams to win in Chicago behind Matthew Stafford. They also picked Indiana to win the national title over Miami, said Matthew Stafford will win MVP, and joked that Fernando Mendoza will end up with the Raiders.

**Claimed:** Jan 15, 2026
**Pundit:** Jason McIntyre — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd/the-herd-hour-3-nfl-playoff-predictions-tomorrows-headlines-today-greg-cosell

5 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 61.3 out of 100, against 49.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'll go low seventeen sixteen Buffalo or thereabouts.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Matthew Stafford to win MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to beat Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Texans 38%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 17 — Denver 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 97.69 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Broncos by 1.5, total 45.5 · this 17–16 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 48%) and fewer points (33). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Fernando Mendoza to move to Las Vegas Raiders**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Matthew Stafford — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-stafford
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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