# Joe Pisapia: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.

**Claimed:** Aug 30, 2025
**Pundit:** Joe Pisapia — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-pisapia
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/draft-or-pass-on-these-fantasy-football-gambles-boom-or-bust-picks-for-2025-ep-1675

9 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls and 3 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 57.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm a pass at seven.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tyreek Hill to outplay his draft cost (almost as the fortieth player)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (the fifties second player overall RB twenty two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (seventy five overall)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyler Warren, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh player overall)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Christian McCaffrey
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Breece Hall, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Joe Mixon to outplay his draft cost (post one hundred)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Joe Mixon, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Puka Nacua to outplay his draft cost (seventeen overall)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Tyreek Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreek-hill
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- RJ Harvey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rj-harvey
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Tyler Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey
- Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/breece-hall
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Joe Mixon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joe-mixon
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Puka Nacua — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)
- Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Travis Hunter: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on George Pickens: Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; they forecast Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d95277c-e110-411f-8934-9a1282c3286e (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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