# Nick Faria: Faria says rookie edge rusher David Bailey, now at five sacks, is on track to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and that Garrett Wilson is headed for a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown season. He also maps out a path where the Jets beat the Dolphins and Raiders to reach 4-4 at midseason. **Claimed:** Oct 12, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Faria — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-faria **Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/jets/onsi/jets-week-5-awards-10-winners-after-hard-fought-win-over-browns-01m4ph7rg77a 6 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers, 2 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2. > Wilson is well on his way to a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, and 10-touchdown season. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New York Jets to beat Raiders** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to beat Dolphins** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Garrett Wilson to record 10 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets - Verdict: not settled yet - **David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: not settled yet - **Garrett Wilson to record 100 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets - Verdict: not settled yet - **Garrett Wilson to record 1,000 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Garrett Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-wilson - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on New York Jets: Simms gave straight-up winners with predicted final scores for every Week 8 game, including upset calls on the Ravens in Buffalo, the Broncos over the Chiefs, the Jets over the Raiders and the Seahawks over the Bears, and he expected Josh Downs to play for the Colts despite his trade request. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/257149d0-81ab-4feb-a725-ef5bebba04b0 (scored 47.62) - Pardon My Take on New York Jets: The hosts' spoken segments could not all be tied to names said in the transcript; the show's weekly Week 8 NFL side/total picks and game leans were made collectively by the unnamed-in-text speakers. Picks included the Bengals beating the Titans easily, the Patriots winning (but maybe not covering) in Miami, and the Broncos over the Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d414788e-66f3-48d9-9b22-d255c2108a2f (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on New York Jets: Prisco picks every Week 8 game with a predicted final score, including the Packers beating the Panthers, the Lions handing the undefeated Vikings their first loss, and the Bengals blowing out the Titans. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e9d8078-8a3c-4465-92a9-e73302d4a67c (scored 35.71) - Ralph Vacchiano on New York Jets: Vacchiano ranked all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 4, putting the undefeated Bills first and the winless Dolphins last, while also flagging a winnable upcoming stretch for the Jets and a Chiefs win over the Raiders. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ca29f-3a98-4bf3-bb84-70e86d6d6d6f (scored 0) - Jason Reid on New York Jets: Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ae304f6-8c13-42ae-998b-8da247fa022b (scored 0) - Nick Kosmidi on New York Jets: Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/387377ec-6218-4da6-a95f-f0d9c60c8333 (scored 0) ## More player season numbers The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Andrew Erickson on James Cook: Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac (scored 66.67) - Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63) - Chris Broussard on Myles Garrett: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 91.67) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84) - Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-faria