# Chris Simms: Simms also believes Jacksonville is on track to secure the top seed in the AFC after beating Cincinnati.

**Claimed:** Oct 5, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Simms — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms
**Outlet:** ProFootballTalk — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/profootballtalk
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.nbcsports.com/watch/nfl/profootballtalk/jacksonville-jaguars-have-path-to-no-1-seed-in-afc-after-defeating-bengals

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Mike Florio and Chris Simms believe the Jacksonville Jaguars are poised to claim the No. 1 seed in the AFC after defeating the Bengals in Week 4.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars

## What others said about the same people

- AJ Hawk on Jacksonville Jaguars: Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0abbd638-5ccf-408e-864d-bd5651044b3d (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on Jacksonville Jaguars: Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/377a2765-5130-479c-8d47-e62f64fff35b (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once he reports, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca08b414-c136-4da2-9805-d9bada155854 (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f137eeee-71a3-4de4-bfa0-50699d23e147 (scored 100)
- Mark Morales-Smith on Jacksonville Jaguars: Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, he states that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d03c86f1-c1e9-4280-b6be-5f6fc9de7f6e (scored 100)
- John Breech on Jacksonville Jaguars: Breech picks the Jaguars to blow out the quarterback-depleted Ravens on Thursday night, and in Week 9 takes the Bengals to outlast the Falcons in a Madrid shootout. He also expects Jacoby Brissett to be a Raven within 48 hours and to make his first Baltimore start in Week 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e93e4009-fa0b-4806-b8f4-bfd9ea948984 (scored 85.71)

## More seeding, byes and home field

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes' upset alert is the Chargers beating the Broncos straight up, which he says would hand the No. 1 seed to New England. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c697d6f-6069-4aaa-8d7b-ecdecd6893bc (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Chicago Bears: Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/34345186-876a-4c4b-9567-9c289a6cbace (scored 100)
- JP Acosta on New England Patriots: JP picked Carolina, Seattle, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, New England, Detroit, the Rams and Kansas City in Week 18, and said the Patriots will likely end up with the AFC's No. 2 seed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e84ab242-8758-43af-b850-d5651a0d7890 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Seattle Seahawks: Nick Wright made five Week 18 picks against the spread: Tampa Bay over Carolina, Seattle over San Francisco (and to take the No. 1 seed), Las Vegas to cover against Kansas City, Miami to cover 12 at New England, and Pittsburgh to cover at home against Baltimore. He also predicted Seattle wins the No. 1 seed and Mike Evans scores a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5b8d3261-b400-493b-aef5-edc07e2d4c0a (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Los Angeles Chargers: Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15192136-24b9-4127-ac9d-69dc69aab3d5 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Philadelphia Eagles: On the Christmas-week gambling show, Nick Wright made five picks and, in doing so, predicted outright wins for Dallas (a blowout of Washington), Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia and Chicago over San Francisco, plus a Rams win at Atlanta and a Tampa Bay win at Miami. He also said Philadelphia will end up as the No. 3 seed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb1df3c7-03a3-462a-a2a9-73f8a2539535 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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