# Mike Renner: Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18. **Claimed:** Jan 6, 2026 **Pundit:** Mike Renner — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-renner **Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174688/8174688_2026-04-12-053628.192.mp3?rssID=6037 33 checkable claims — 18 mock draft picks, 9 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 2 positional finishes, 1 combine measurement and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 28 of 33 have settled so far, averaging 52.9 out of 100, against 41.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > So because of all that, give me the Rams. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Green Bay Packers to beat Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pats** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Matt Moore to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Matt Moore, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots to beat Chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trevor Goosby to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trevor Goosby, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermaine McCrory to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermaine McCrory, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to post probably gonna run a four four at the combine** - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jordyn Tyson to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jordyn Tyson - Verdict: too vague to check - **Houston Texans to beat Jags** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francisco Mauigoa, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Carnell Tate to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: too vague to check ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Matt Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matt-moore - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Trevor Goosby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-goosby - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Jermaine McCrory — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermaine-mccrory - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Francisco Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francisco-mauigoa - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1) - Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Rams: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Los Angeles Rams: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 57.14) - Chris Long on New England Patriots: Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab903e00-9f1b-4862-91a6-96343679649c (scored 100) - Phil Simms on New York Giants: Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149102cf-b9f9-4fd8-8a72-b501daece227 (scored 0) - Mary Kay Cabot on Za'Darius Smith: Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb50e55-cb33-43c3-a427-d47904beb7bb (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71) - Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-renner