# Mike Renner: Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. They also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18. **Claimed:** Jan 6, 2026 **Pundit:** Mike Renner — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-renner **Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174688/8174688_2026-04-12-053628.192.mp3?rssID=6037 33 checkable claims — 18 mock draft picks, 9 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 2 positional finishes, 1 combine measurement and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 29 of 33 have settled so far, averaging 54.5 out of 100, against 41.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > So because of all that, give me the Rams. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Houston Texans to beat Jags** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess - **Matt Moore to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Matt Moore, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Trevor Goosby to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trevor Goosby, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermaine McCrory to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermaine McCrory, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 10, 2026): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Green Bay Packers to beat Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 10, 2026): Packers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Packers 55%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Pats** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots to beat Chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 12, 2026): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jordyn Tyson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francisco Mauigoa, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sonny Styles to post probably gonna run a four four at the combine** - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Carnell Tate to finish top 20 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Matt Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matt-moore - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Trevor Goosby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-goosby - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Jermaine McCrory — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermaine-mccrory - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Francisco Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francisco-mauigoa - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Garrett Nussmeier: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 0) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-renner