# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal made three against-the-spread picks — Dolphins over Commanders, Buccaneers over Bills outright, and Steelers to beat the Bengals by more than 5.5 — while also saying they have Seattle and Chicago winning straight up and endorsing the Ravens over the Browns.

**Claimed:** Nov 14, 2025
**Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/week-11-nfl-picks-with-cynthia-frelund

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think the Dolphins win going away.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Chicago Bears to beat Vikings**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 16, 2025): Vikings by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 43%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bengals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 16, 2025): Steelers by 5.5 · favorite pick, Steelers about 2 in 3 (69%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 16, 2025): Rams by 3 · underdog pick, Seahawks 39%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Buffalo**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 16, 2025): Bills by 6 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Miami Dolphins to beat Washington Commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 16, 2025): Dolphins by 2.5 · favorite pick, Dolphins 57%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on Joey Porter Jr.: The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6edcb85-bcff-47cb-ba7d-e09dc7549fe1 (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 (scored 0)
- Dalton Feely on Chris Godwin Jr.: Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5456472e-edf1-49c5-9f6b-bd59183fcea7 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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