# Josh Holmes: Holmes called a string of Senate races for Republicans — Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, Chuck Grassley in Iowa, Eric Schmitt in Missouri, Adam Laxalt in Nevada and Ted Budd in North Carolina — and said Ron DeSantis would be celebrating a win in Florida's governor's race. **Claimed:** Nov 8, 2022 **Pundit:** Josh Holmes — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/josh-holmes **Outlet:** Ruthless Podcast — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/ruthless-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM2502803183.mp3?updated=1752591745 6 checkable claims — 6 race winners — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. All 6 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls. > That is a race that has been a persistent two to three point lead for Adam here for about six weeks... Let's put that thing on the board. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **that race is gonna be a little tighter than Grassley is typically accustomed to... He's gonna win, but that that's something to keep an eye on.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **that will help you understand why this guy is gonna win in Wisconsin** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **So Missouri, we're gonna be good. Eric Schmidt... He's gonna get over the finish line himself.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **I feel great about it. Yeah. I feel great about it. So let's put that thing on the board.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **He and he and his wonderful wife, Casey, are gonna be celebrating, no question tonight.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **a big tip of the cap there to Stephen Law... who put 30 plus million dollars in the North Carolina this cycle... And I'm I'm confident it's gonna come through.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess ## More race winners The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jim Geraghty: Geraghty said Republicans would clearly win the House, but with a majority in the twenties rather than a 40-50 seat wave, and that the GOP would take the Senate by about one seat. He called Budd, Vance and Johnson winners in their Senate races, Kiggans a winner in Virginia's 2nd, Fetterman the likely winner in Pennsylvania, Laxalt the safer GOP bet in Nevada, and liked Walker's odds in a Georgia runoff. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2 (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly predicted Republicans would win control of the House, that Ron Johnson would hold Wisconsin given Mandela Barnes' record on crime, and that JD Vance would win in Ohio. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ae01889-13b0-43e6-bcbd-c98a82a5aa04 (scored 100) - Tom Bevan: Bevan said Republicans would still take the House and would win the Senate by a margin of one or two seats, that Oz would fall short in Pennsylvania, and gave expected winning margins of roughly eight points for Vance in Ohio, about five for Budd in North Carolina, and a very narrow Walker edge in Georgia. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3baef536-0bff-435d-8c59-9af2c6b32384 (scored 100) - Dennis Prager: Asked who a Georgia Senate runoff would favor, Prager said it would favor Herschel Walker, because the contest would effectively be about control of the Senate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6edcea42-561f-4932-9aa1-761bb11f097e (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly said the worst case for Republicans was taking only the House, predicted Lee Zeldin would win the New York governor's race, and agreed the New Hampshire Republican Senate candidate would win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94649f86-1d80-4f9c-9505-04d0e4337f71 (scored 0) - Matt Continetti: Continetti forecast a big Republican night: a House gain of 20 to 30 seats or more and three to four Senate pickups, with Ron DeSantis reelected in Florida. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c895a63-b14d-4946-9ead-fdf2d6e76521 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=josh-holmes