# Jesse Holley: Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.

**Claimed:** Sep 3, 2026
**Pundit:** Jesse Holley — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jesse-holley
**Outlet:** DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/dlls-dallas-cowboys-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://tracking.swap.fm/track/xt6bq09fJCm8CxP7DUGF/dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/822/claritaspod.com/measure/prfx.byspotify.com/e/injector.simplecastaudio.com/d5ae5375-e417-4df4-8c3d-3d7ba352b111/episodes/44b7b182-a5ff-445e-8d75-809a3878b4fa/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=d5ae5375-e417-4df4-8c3d-3d7ba352b111&awEpisodeId=44b7b182-a5ff-445e-8d75-809a3878b4fa&feed=4Fqey2NA

15 checkable claims — 13 game outcome picks, 1 division winner and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 55.6 out of 100, against 22.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I believe that the Cowboys are gonna win the division with 10 wins.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Indianapolis Colts to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat commanders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat Tennessee Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat 40 niners**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/005e6ad1-bc95-49da-9db2-3a9da2d5041d (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c9216871-a4a2-4676-b3d8-2221daa70413 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c1faeb3-7adb-456d-bd42-275be95269e8 (scored 100)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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