# Nick Wright: Nick Wright gave their early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. **Claimed:** Apr 8, 2025 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/what-s-wright-with-nick-wright-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/whats-wright-predicting-nfl-win-totals-chiefs-record-florida-houston-reaction 10 checkable claims — 9 season win totals and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 10 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 43 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I like the Raiders over six and a half. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Miami Dolphins to finish with 8–9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to finish with 9–10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to finish with 6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess - **Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0) - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Gregg Rosenthal on Dallas Cowboys: Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a11f697d-1616-4bbe-9b7f-5bde7c6653ea (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on Detroit Lions: Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7fd60c68-daca-4b01-92cb-4ec7f89c6722 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Pittsburgh Steelers: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fb10c9f-9ceb-4be5-a8eb-c15baf405f23 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Atlanta Falcons: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading them as a Day 3 prospect. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/702206c9-db9c-4936-bb12-4b5815ecc541 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rosenthal predicted Armand Membu could go to the Jets at No. 7, expects Josh Simmons to be picked in the first round despite injury and character concerns, and floated Donovan Jackson going to a team like the Patriots at the top of the second round. On win totals they leaned over on the Jets, Buccaneers, Lions and Chiefs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c421a43a-b5d2-4155-89b9-098d12139959 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright