# Nick Wright: Nick Wright previews wild card weekend: they expect a Miami–Indiana college football title matchup, currently picks the Rams (with Stafford) to win the Super Bowl, and gives their game picks — Rams over Carolina, Bears over Packers, a one-point Bills win over Jacksonville, Patriots over Chargers by three, and Steelers over Houston.

**Claimed:** Jan 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/what-s-wright-with-nick-wright-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/nfl-wild-card-predictions-bills-jaguars-49ers-eagles-packers-bears-chargers-pats-nick-wright

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 59 out of 100, against 49.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 10, 2026): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 24 — Jacksonville 23**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 47.69 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Jaguars by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 24–23 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 47%) and fewer points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 12, 2026): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Steelers 42%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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