# Jared Dubin: Dubin picks the Bills to win a shootout over the Lions 35-32 and takes the Patriots to beat the Steelers 21-13. **Claimed:** Sep 17, 2026 **Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin **Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/lions-bills-predictions-for-thursday-plus-nfl-week-2-picks-for-all-16-games-and-ranking-each-starting-qb/ 2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 2 have settled, averaging 80.9 out of 100, against 68.9 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Bills 35-32 over Lions *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 78.57 out of 100, against 58.29 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 21–13 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 8) and fewer points (34). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 32** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 79.41 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 17, 2026): Bills by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 35–32 calls a closer game (Bills by 3) and more points (67). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19) - John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9) - Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19) - Trevor Ripley on Buffalo Bills: Ripley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d007779f-687d-4623-87c1-8a62c6d62b06 (scored 76.19) - Brooke Cersosimo on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e232a51e-7f06-4868-8d19-152de27a5e7a (scored 100) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-dubin