# Connor Rogers: Rogers made straight-up winner calls across the Week 5 slate, siding with New England over the Raiders, the Saints upsetting Minnesota, the Colts winning in Pittsburgh, a Jets bounce-back over Cleveland, and the Rams edging Buffalo on Monday night. **Claimed:** Oct 9, 2026 **Pundit:** Connor Rogers — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers **Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/624f9730-63e4-46d1-afb8-b4de01154c67/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b 9 checkable claims — 9 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 9 have settled, averaging 55.6 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls. > It just feels like it's the day that the Jets pull some shit off. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Denver Broncos to beat chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5 · favorite pick, Broncos 63%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions to beat Cardinals** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5 · favorite pick, Lions 70%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New York Jets to beat Browns** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5 · favorite pick, Jets 56%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints to beat Vikings** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5 · underdog pick, Saints 44%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Indianapolis Colts to beat Steelers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3 · underdog pick, Colts 41%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New England Patriots to beat Raiders** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans to beat Titans** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans ## What others said about the same people - Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62) - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0) - Ty Schmit on Los Angeles Rams: Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95627559-9ab1-4c1a-bb21-bb46709b6b6f (scored 47.62) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100) - Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Buffalo Bills: Warmly predicted the Bills would beat the Rams on Monday night by at least 10 points and said he does not expect Lamar Jackson to play in Week 5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/847acc30-6669-4899-a09b-1f173e055dc9 (scored 100) - O'Shea Jackson Jr. on Buffalo Bills: Guest-hosting, O'Shea Jackson Jr. went game-by-game through the Rams' schedule and had Los Angeles finishing 14-3, winning the NFC West and taking the No. 1 seed, with losses only at Denver, at home to Buffalo and at Seattle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d56386d9-bfad-4790-855e-65fdbb116735 (scored 100) - Rob Bushka on Buffalo Bills: Buschka picked the Rams to start 3-0 and finish 13-4 as division winners, with losses to Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City and San Francisco; he also predicted AJ Brown lands in New England and that rookie Ty Simpson starts three games, throws for over 1,000 yards and wins Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c93b88cb-d927-4b77-8e1f-f6651712338e (scored 100) - Michael Brockers on Buffalo Bills: Brock picked the Rams to win nearly every game, with losses only to Buffalo, Washington, San Francisco in December and Seattle on Christmas, finishing 13-4 and winning the NFC West, and said Puka Nacua would top 1,709 receiving yards. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e7d13468-d30b-4b62-95a8-1fbd66171345 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=connor-rogers