# David Harrison: Harrison unveils his top-10 'vertical Z receiver' big board for the Commanders in the 2026 draft class, led by Cincinnati's Jeff Caldwell, and attaches draft-range projections to the prospects (Caldwell early Day 3, Bryce Lance mid-Day 3, Chris Brasel early Day 2, Malik Benson mid-Day 3/seventh round, Stribling late Day 3, Jordan Tyson Day 1). He also lays out Washington's projected receiver depth chart and 53-man group, with Dyami Brown as the starting Z.

**Claimed:** Apr 8, 2026
**Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/848963b9-1262-46aa-8058-32e0e7dd704a/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=848963b9-1262-46aa-8058-32e0e7dd704a&feed=psq7p3Ar

20 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks, 6 roster spot calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 89.8 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati wide receiver, our number one, number one lid lifting z target in the NFL draft for the Washington commanders because he fits the mold the most clearly.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Luke McCaffrey to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jaylin Lane to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jaylin Lane, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Treylon Burks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Treylon Burks, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Terry McLaurin to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Malik Benson to be picked “number two twenty three in the seventh round” (picks 217–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malik Benson
  - Verdict: scored 38.56 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Luke McCaffrey to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jeff Caldwell to be picked “from one forty seven to one eighty seven”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jeff Caldwell to be picked “Early day three”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Brazzell to be picked “early day two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chris Brazzell, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dyami Brown to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dyami Brown, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marquise Brown to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Marquise Brown, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bryce Lance to be picked “Midday three picks”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Bryce Lance
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Justin Jefferson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Justin Jefferson, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Malik Benson to be picked “midday three pick”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malik Benson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked “late day three”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: De'Zhaun Stribling
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **The top guy in this year's NFL draft class that fits that profile, Cincinnati wide receiver, Jeff Caldwell coming in second. North Dakota state receiver, Bryce Lance... Georgia State's Ted Hurst is tenth. ... Mckay Lemon actually ended up coming in eleventh overall.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked “day one, potentially could slide to day two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zavion Thomas to be picked “from one eighty seven to 209”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zavion Thomas
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Luke McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/luke-mccaffrey
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Jaylin Lane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylin-lane
- Treylon Burks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treylon-burks
- Terry McLaurin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/terry-mclaurin
- Malik Benson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-benson
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Jeff Caldwell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeff-caldwell
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Chris Brazzell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-brazzell
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Dyami Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dyami-brown
- Marquise Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marquise-brown
- Bryce Lance — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bryce-lance
- Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson-1075
- De'Zhaun Stribling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/de-zhaun-stribling
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Zavion Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zavion-thomas

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Cincinnati Bengals: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 40.48)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Matt Harmon on Cincinnati Bengals: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Cincinnati Bengals: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 73.81)
- John Middlekauff on Tennessee Titans: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 0)
- Bryan DeArdo on Cincinnati Bengals: He picks the Bengals to beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh in a low-scoring, defensive game, arguing Pittsburgh's struggling offense can't break through against Cincinnati's strong defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/105a1dc7-6107-450a-bc8d-a65798ee0257 (scored 50)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison
