# Pat Fitzmaurice: FantasyPros' Fitz lays out his 2026 draft strategy, fading early-round quarterbacks (Josh Allen) and Trey McBride, warning off Quinshon Judkins as a volume trap and Jerry Jeudy entirely, while touting middle-round QBs (Purdy, Herbert, Lawrence), tight ends (Kraft, Fannin, Pitts) and Packers WR Christian Watson as values. **Claimed:** Aug 30, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice **Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/fantasy-football-draft-advice-expert-strategy-for-2026/ 11 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls and 4 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. > Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Allen - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trey McBride - Verdict: not settled yet - **Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brock Purdy - Verdict: not settled yet - **Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Justin Herbert - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a midrange or low-end RB2)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trevor Lawrence - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Harold Fannin Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/harold-fannin-jr - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Trey McBride — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-mcbride - Brock Purdy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-purdy - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Quinshon Judkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quinshon-judkins - Jerry Jeudy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jerry-jeudy - Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence - Kyle Pitts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyle-pitts - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52) - Pete Prisco on Cleveland Browns: Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb02dfa-79dd-43a1-87d8-db7e5140af6c (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Green Bay Packers: Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e80b2d86-5533-4a14-b40a-9de75d1883bc (scored 7.14) - Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Falcons comfortably on Thursday Night Football, predicting a 23-13 Green Bay win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d0957a4-4d45-4f24-b6f9-a848eb47a374 (scored 23.81) - Jordan Dajani on Green Bay Packers: Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac (scored 16.67) - Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263 (scored 23.81) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-fitzmaurice