# Dave Dameshek: In an NFC win-total draft, Damoshek predicted 11 wins for the Eagles (while doubting they win the division), Vikings over 8.5 plus an outright NFC North title, Cowboys over 9.5 and the NFC East, Panthers over 7.5 and the NFC South, Rams to win 12 games and the NFC West, and Bears to reach 10 wins and the playoffs. They also called the Saints 0-2 to start with losses at Detroit and Baltimore.

**Claimed:** Sep 2, 2026
**Pundit:** Dave Dameshek — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dave-dameshek
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://pdrl.fm/91be81/podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/9ce11dad-e86a-444f-ba83-ae27003475be/4d946964-8c23-456d-8942-b4b9013cceb2/audio.mp3?in_playlist=deff018f-4b51-4501-937c-ae27003475d1

13 checkable claims — 6 season win totals, 4 division winners, 2 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 4.

> I don't think this team is winning the division, but I do think they're going to win 11 games.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Detroit Lions to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carolina Panthers to finish with 8 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Los Angeles Rams to finish with 12 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Minnesota Vikings to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carolina Panthers to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chicago Bears to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Justin Penik on Aaron Jones: Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4af0c93c-46f5-4a2c-ae24-e6ffa81a6559 (scored 100)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9443503e-89b7-461f-8b67-e99f60c8b5d2 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Cleveland Browns: Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e17eca2-e154-41f3-b116-389f8335f9c8 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on San Francisco 49ers: Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3f0c208-282f-4dfc-8ca1-5c966eee0be2 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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