# Nick Wright: On his Week 4 pick show, Nick Wright called the Bills to beat the Patriots comfortably (roughly 28-13), the Jaguars to beat the Bengals outright in a one-point game, the Chiefs to win in Las Vegas scoring around 30, said he'd be stunned if Seattle lost to the Chargers, and said he'd be gobsmacked if Tennessee beat Baltimore. **Claimed:** Oct 3, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/what-s-wright-with-nick-wright-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/87152870-f264-4995-8336-b288010f6b6f/04e6aa5e-f4f7-4c27-a5e2-b4d700faf540/audio.mp3?in_playlist=bf391792-153e-41b3-9d3d-ae3300346ad8 5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 5 have settled, averaging 82.4 out of 100, against 57.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I think the Bills win this game easily. And we're talking like 28-13 type of game. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Baltimore Ravens to beat Tennessee** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Ravens by 11.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 6 in 7 (85%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Vegas** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Cincinnati 27** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 40.48 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 28–27 calls a Jaguars win (by 1; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (55). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Buffalo Bills 28 — New England 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 21.43 out of 100, against 45.24 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 28–13 calls a bigger Bills win (by 15) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Seahawks by 7 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (74%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks ## What others said about the same people - John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100) - Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24) - Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48) - Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Buffalo Bills: Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f (scored 100) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Los Angeles Rams: Mangini took the Titans to upset the Texans, and in the chips segment backed the Chargers to upset Denver, the Patriots over the Raiders, and the Rams over the Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af6364dd-ba73-40cb-95fa-a9fa3ddf962b (scored 0) - Connor Rogers on Los Angeles Rams: Rogers made straight-up winner calls across the Week 5 slate, siding with New England over the Raiders, the Saints upsetting Minnesota, the Colts winning in Pittsburgh, a Jets bounce-back over Cleveland, and the Rams edging Buffalo on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd2f886c-aba0-4ade-bae2-d6fed624673b (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright