# Derek Brown: The Fantasy Pros analyst laid out their biggest fantasy offseason moves and then a round-by-round list of players they're high and low on, headlined by breakout calls on Parker Washington, Jordan Mason, DJ Moore, Jaylen Waddle, A.J. Brown and Marshawn Lloyd, plus fades on Justin Jefferson, Rashee Rice and Josh Jacobs.

**Claimed:** Sep 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/291fe8ed-f80d-4107-9ee1-b34c015266d0/cbcc1394-601f-4e36-ae2b-b4b80124e430/audio.mp3?in_playlist=bf391792-153e-41b3-9d3d-ae3300346ad8

33 checkable claims — 14 fantasy bust calls, 8 sleeper calls, 7 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 10 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 9.

> A.J. Brown is going to end up with the best statistical season that he's ever had in his career.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bo Nix to win MVP**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Mark Andrews
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Alec Pierce
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (a top 20 wide receiver price tag)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (round eight)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Downs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round price tag)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Allen
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Trayvon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (round six)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trayvon Henderson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenny Gainwell
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Zhaun Stribling
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chris Olave
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dontayvion Wicks, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- James Cook — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bo-nix
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore
- Mark Andrews — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mark-andrews
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Alec Pierce — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alec-pierce
- Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan
- Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard
- Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Jaylen Waddle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Trayvon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trayvon-henderson
- Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Kenny Gainwell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenny-gainwell
- Quinshon Judkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quinshon-judkins
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- De'Zhaun Stribling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/de-zhaun-stribling
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- Dontayvion Wicks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dontayvion-wicks

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)

## More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Breece Hall: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Christian McCaffrey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: Seeley mocks anyone going back to Kyle Pitts, treating them as a tight end who will burn drafters again, while touting Trey Benson as a discounted value who remains the clear backup to James Connor. They also call out late-round picks like Justice Hill, Rashad Bateman and Romeo Doubs as upside-less bench wastes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98137bb9-928a-4022-9e69-99386656d01a (scored 0)
- Jake Ciely on Breece Hall: Jake has Christian McCaffrey as their RB4 and a back-end first-round pick, views Ashton Jeanty as more of a back-end RB1 than a mid-first pick, likes Brashard Smith as a late-round flier, and sees Breece Hall as a bust risk at their RB13 cost, projecting them as a back-end RB2 while expecting Justin Fields to run for around eight touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bbdd89b-368f-48b9-b389-80b41cd742a5 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown
