# Derek Brown: The Fantasy Pros analyst laid out his biggest fantasy offseason moves and then a round-by-round list of players he's high and low on, headlined by breakout calls on Parker Washington, Jordan Mason, DJ Moore, Jaylen Waddle, A.J. Brown and Marshawn Lloyd, plus fades on Justin Jefferson, Rashee Rice and Josh Jacobs. **Claimed:** Sep 1, 2026 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/291fe8ed-f80d-4107-9ee1-b34c015266d0/cbcc1394-601f-4e36-ae2b-b4b80124e430/audio.mp3?in_playlist=bf391792-153e-41b3-9d3d-ae3300346ad8 33 checkable claims — 14 fantasy bust calls, 8 sleeper calls, 7 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. Of the 10 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 9. > A.J. Brown is going to end up with the best statistical season that he's ever had in his career. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks - Verdict: not settled yet - **De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Zhaun Stribling - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round price tag)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Allen - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (round seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bo Nix to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chris Olave - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **A.J. Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (a top 20 wide receiver price tag)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan - Verdict: not settled yet - **James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round two)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Downs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dontayvion Wicks, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Mark Andrews - Verdict: not settled yet - **Trayvon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (round six)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trayvon Henderson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenny Gainwell - Verdict: not settled yet - **Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Alec Pierce - Verdict: not settled yet - **David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks - De'Zhaun Stribling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/de-zhaun-stribling - DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Quinshon Judkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quinshon-judkins - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs - Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard - Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bo-nix - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan - James Cook — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook - Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown - Jaylen Waddle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle - Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs - Dontayvion Wicks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dontayvion-wicks - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Mark Andrews — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mark-andrews - Trayvon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trayvon-henderson - Kenny Gainwell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenny-gainwell - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Alec Pierce — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alec-pierce - David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones ## What others said about the same people - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 23.81) - Chris Long on New England Patriots: Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab903e00-9f1b-4862-91a6-96343679649c (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Buffalo Bills: Rogers predicted the Bills would beat the Lions in their new stadium on Thursday night, winning by a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/feddcc68-c714-4448-9a45-6679a6dbd34e (scored 100) - Mary Kay Cabot on Za'Darius Smith: Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb50e55-cb33-43c3-a427-d47904beb7bb (scored 0) - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) - Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Breece Hall: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0) - Joe Pisapia on Christian McCaffrey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: Seeley mocks anyone going back to Kyle Pitts, treating him as a tight end who will burn drafters again, while touting Trey Benson as a discounted value who remains the clear backup to James Connor. He also calls out late-round picks like Justice Hill, Rashad Bateman and Romeo Doubs as upside-less bench wastes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98137bb9-928a-4022-9e69-99386656d01a (scored 0) - Jake Ciely on Breece Hall: Jake has Christian McCaffrey as his RB4 and a back-end first-round pick, views Ashton Jeanty as more of a back-end RB1 than a mid-first pick, likes Brashard Smith as a late-round flier, and sees Breece Hall as a bust risk at his RB13 cost, projecting him as a back-end RB2 while expecting Justin Fields to run for around eight touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bbdd89b-368f-48b9-b389-80b41cd742a5 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown