# Nate Tice: In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. They also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent.

**Claimed:** Apr 8, 2025
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/mock-draft-with-nate-tice

17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 33 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 17 have settled, averaging 77.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Conerly Jr., Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derrick Harmon, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shemar Stewart, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Grey Zabel to be picked “an eighteen to thirty type player... back half of this first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Grey Zabel
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Ezeiruaku, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shavon Revel Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 9.23 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mason Graham to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mason Graham, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenneth Grant, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colston Loveland, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Josh Simmons to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Simmons, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malaki Starks to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malaki Starks, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Armand Membou to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Armand Membou, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mike Green to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mike Green, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 14.87 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mykel Williams to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mykel Williams, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Josh Conerly Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-conerly-jr
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Derrick Harmon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derrick-harmon
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Shemar Stewart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shemar-stewart
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Grey Zabel — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/grey-zabel
- Donovan Ezeiruaku — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/donovan-ezeiruaku
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Donovan Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/donovan-jackson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Shavon Revel Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shavon-revel-jr
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Mason Graham — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mason-graham
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Kenneth Grant — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-grant
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Colston Loveland — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Josh Simmons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-simmons
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Malaki Starks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malaki-starks
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Armand Membou — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/armand-membou
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Mike Green — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-green
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Mykel Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mykel-williams
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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