# Nate Tice: In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. He also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent. **Claimed:** Apr 8, 2025 **Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/mock-draft-with-nate-tice 17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 33 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 17 have settled, averaging 77.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Grey Zabel to be picked “an eighteen to thirty type player... back half of this first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Grey Zabel - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Armand Membou to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Armand Membou, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mike Green to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mike Green, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 14.87 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derrick Harmon, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 19** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shemar Stewart, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked at number 21** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shavon Revel Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 9.23 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenneth Grant, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 25** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Conerly Jr., Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 27** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Jackson, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Donovan Ezeiruaku, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mason Graham to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mason Graham, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Josh Simmons to be picked at number 31** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Simmons, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Malaki Starks to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malaki Starks, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mykel Williams to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mykel Williams, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colston Loveland, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Grey Zabel — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/grey-zabel - Armand Membou — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/armand-membou - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Mike Green — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-green - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Derrick Harmon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derrick-harmon - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Shemar Stewart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shemar-stewart - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Shavon Revel Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shavon-revel-jr - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Kenneth Grant — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-grant - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Josh Conerly Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-conerly-jr - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Donovan Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/donovan-jackson - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Donovan Ezeiruaku — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/donovan-ezeiruaku - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Mason Graham — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mason-graham - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-ward - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Josh Simmons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-simmons - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Malaki Starks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malaki-starks - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Mykel Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mykel-williams - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Colston Loveland — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 23.81) - Phil Simms on New York Giants: Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149102cf-b9f9-4fd8-8a72-b501daece227 (scored 0) - Steve Kubitza on Za'Darius Smith: Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54fca826-8644-4e76-bc3f-5d8d44bcca23 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice