# JP Acosta: JP walked through the entire playoff bracket, taking the Patriots, Texans and Jaguars in the AFC wild card round, the Jaguars over the Texans in the AFC Championship, the Rams out of the NFC, and the Rams to beat the Jaguars in the Super Bowl.

**Claimed:** Jan 6, 2026
**Pundit:** JP Acosta — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jp-acosta
**Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174688/8174688_2026-04-12-053628.192.mp3?rssID=6037

14 checkable claims — 11 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 51.2 out of 100, against 24.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think they are the most complete team in the NFL, and I think they're gonna win.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 22.92 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chicago Bears to beat Packers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 10, 2026): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 10, 2026): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to beat Steelers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 12, 2026): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chicago Bears to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/005e6ad1-bc95-49da-9db2-3a9da2d5041d (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c1faeb3-7adb-456d-bd42-275be95269e8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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