# Chris Brockman: Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay. **Claimed:** Mar 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman **Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP2468596046.mp3?updated=1772472466 15 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 3 player season numbers, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 9 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 91 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 1. > Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Stowers - Verdict: scored 22.93 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Fernando Mendoza - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 33.08 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess - **Mike Evans to record 15 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Mike Evans, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mike Evans to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Mike Evans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Eli Stowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/eli-stowers - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Mike Evans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-evans - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals ## What others said about the same people - Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19) - John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9) - Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81) - Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19) - Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Garrett Nussmeier: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-brockman