# Danny Parkins: Danny Parkins presented his one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.

**Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026
**Pundit:** Danny Parkins — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins
**Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM9501593377.mp3?updated=1776986030

25 checkable claims — 23 mock draft picks and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 41 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

22 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 80.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> I got number one right. Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **David Bailey to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Peter Woods to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Peter Woods, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Colton Hood to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colton Hood, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 31.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked “Very end of the first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 47.88 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **B.J. to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: B.J., Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 3**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chicago Bears to pick at number 16**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Peter Woods — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/peter-woods
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston
- Colton Hood — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colton-hood
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- B.J. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/b-j

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Jermod McCoy: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 1.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Cashius Howell: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 32.42)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=danny-parkins
