# Ross Jackson: In a post-free-agency seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson projects New Orleans taking Ohio State WR Carnell Tate at No. 8, UCF edge Malachi Lawrence at No. 42, Arizona CB Traydon Stukes in round three, Kentucky center Jager Burton at 132, Penn State RB Caitron Allen at 137, Clemson DT Demontae Capehart at 148, Texas A&M OL Armaj Reid Adams at 170, and Washington CB Takario Davis at 189. He also pegs guards Vega Ioane and Emmanuel Pregnon as round one/two picks and Reid Adams and Jeremiah Wright as day-three guys.

**Claimed:** Mar 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Ross Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ross-jackson
**Outlet:** Locked On Saints (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/83ac39/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9/episodes/bb4cf9cb-42ff-4f0a-8989-9002ca63b4ab/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9&awEpisodeId=bb4cf9cb-42ff-4f0a-8989-9002ca63b4ab&feed=aKgoC4uX

11 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 37 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Round one, pick eight. Wide receiver... Carnell Tate out of Ohio State

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 170**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ar'maj Reed-Adams, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 4.62 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 42**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jager Burton to be picked at number 132**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jager Burton, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 40.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kaytron Allen, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 11.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **DeMonte Capehart to be picked at number 148**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: DeMonte Capehart, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Tacario Davis to be picked at number 189**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tacario Davis, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0.63 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “round one, round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jeremiah Wright to be picked “day three guys”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiah Wright
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Treydan Stukes to be picked “round three”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Treydan Stukes, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “round one, round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel Pregnon
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Ar'maj Reed-Adams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ar-maj-reed-adams
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence
- Jager Burton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jager-burton
- Kaytron Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaytron-allen
- DeMonte Capehart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demonte-capehart
- Tacario Davis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tacario-davis
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Jeremiah Wright — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiah-wright
- Treydan Stukes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treydan-stukes
- Emmanuel Pregnon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-pregnon

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on New Orleans Saints: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62)
- Nick Wright on New Orleans Saints: On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/afa6070a-4229-4b28-a922-31d609ad1adf (scored 33.33)
- Dan Beyer on New Orleans Saints: For his Week 3 survivor pick, he took the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, saying he doesn't see Las Vegas staying unbeaten. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdedf503-5121-4109-b003-d5c980b00456 (scored 0)
- Darrion Gray on New Orleans Saints: Predicted the Saints beat the Raiders 27-17 at home. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/778eb604-cf02-49f1-8468-fbc8b0798375 (scored 45.24)
- John Hendricks on New Orleans Saints: Predicted a lower-scoring Saints win over the Raiders, 24-19, with the defense carrying them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d6f55b1-d993-4659-a8b9-d95c6942875e (scored 42.86)
- Lance Moore on New Orleans Saints: Called for a Saints victory over the Raiders by a score of 27-20. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92c9e860-f1af-4e13-a82c-80d31fa7be6e (scored 47.62)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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