# Matt Miller: In their 2026 seven-round mock draft, Miller has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Francis Mauigoa to Arizona at No. 3, Jeremiah Love to Tennessee at No. 4, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Carnell Tate to the Browns at No. 6, and a series of other first- and second-round picks including Ty Simpson to the Jets at the top of round two. **Claimed:** Mar 31, 2026 **Pundit:** Matt Miller — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-miller **Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP9257538732.mp3?updated=1774980438 27 checkable claims — 26 mock draft picks and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 43 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 26 of 27 have settled so far, averaging 74.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > So I go back to Love as the best player in this class in my opinion, and they have a need there. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **David Bailey to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jadarian Price to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jadarian Price, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 33** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 42.04 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Eli Stowers to be picked at number 40** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Stowers, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carson Beck to be picked “starts off the third round” (picks 65–100)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carson Beck, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **K.C. Concepcion to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 53** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Garrett Nussmeier, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0.02 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 2.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Drew Allar to be picked “second round choice” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Drew Allar, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 59.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Colton Hood to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colton Hood, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 21** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Eli Stowers to make Pro Bowl** - Kind: Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · About: Eli Stowers, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Jadarian Price — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jadarian-price - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Eli Stowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/eli-stowers - Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Carson Beck — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carson-beck - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Garrett Nussmeier — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-nussmeier - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Drew Allar — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drew-allar - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Colton Hood — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colton-hood - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0) - Rob Rang on Malachi Corley: Rang updated their quarterback board for the 2027 NFL Draft, moving Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss to No. 1 ahead of Dante Moore and Arch Manning, and sorting the 14 QBs into first-round, Day 2 and Day 3 tiers. They also project Jeremiah Smith as the No. 1 overall pick and says Manning would be a first-round pick if eligible. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65667ef4-80c7-4bd1-a9ae-6c7aa8eb18b7 (scored 23.94) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-miller