# Mike Tannenbaum: Tannenbaum picked Justin Herbert MVP, Herbert also for OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Todd Bowles Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Mike Tannenbaum — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-tannenbaum
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> $30 million a year is the right number for Aaron Donald, who's the most important non-quarterback in the league.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Justin Herbert to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Todd Bowles to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Aidan Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aidan-hutchinson
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave

## What others said about the same people

- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 (scored 0)
- Dalton Feely on Chris Godwin Jr.: Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5456472e-edf1-49c5-9f6b-bd59183fcea7 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/005e6ad1-bc95-49da-9db2-3a9da2d5041d (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c1faeb3-7adb-456d-bd42-275be95269e8 (scored 100)
- Christian Booher on Anthony Lucas: Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/228a7c0e-608b-4043-a8fa-eb3f8b2c4ce8 (scored 0)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Sam Darnold: Wright picks Seattle to beat New England in the Super Bowl by a 27-17 final score, describing a semi-comfortable win, and names Sam Darnold as their Super Bowl MVP pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ff42b18-5a45-40e1-b3b6-17612cfca395 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Drake Maye: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as their dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Willie Colon on Sam Darnold: Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6655a6f-9a44-46d4-8c76-0d96b7334211 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as their dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-tannenbaum
