# Mike Tannenbaum: Tannenbaum picked Justin Herbert MVP, Herbert also for OPOY, Aaron Donald DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Todd Bowles Coach of the Year. **Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022 **Pundit:** Mike Tannenbaum — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-tannenbaum **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/ 7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. > $30 million a year is the right number for Aaron Donald, who's the most important non-quarterback in the league. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justin Herbert to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aaron Donald, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Todd Bowles to win Coach of the Year** - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Aaron Donald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-donald - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Aidan Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aidan-hutchinson - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on New Orleans Saints: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62) - Connor Rogers on Detroit Lions: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Nate Tice on Detroit Lions: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Detroit Lions: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Los Angeles Chargers: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0) ## More award picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jourdan Rodrigue on Josh Simmons: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0) - Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0) - Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0) - Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3667c28e-88b0-4d8e-bebd-6ef088550e4f (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-tannenbaum