# Mike Fanelli: Fanelli names six players he considers draft values relative to their NFFC ADP — Daniel Jones, James Cook, D'Andre Swift, DJ Moore, KC Concepcion and Juwan Johnson — arguing each will outperform his current cost. He also says Cook should be the third RB drafted, ahead of Christian McCaffrey, and that Johnson steps into the Saints' No. 2 receiving role.

**Claimed:** Aug 23, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Fanelli — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-fanelli
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/top-6-fantasy-football-draft-values-nffc-2026-picks/

10 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 3.

> I happily draft him as the third running back off the board, easily ahead of Christian McCaffrey.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (ADP 129.28 | WR53)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: K.C. Concepcion, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP 161.26 | QB25)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP 54.46 | RB24)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 11.31 | RB6)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwan Johnson to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (ADP 57.96 | WR28)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 153.53 | TE17)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- James Cook — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Juwan Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/juwan-johnson
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on New Orleans Saints: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Chicago Bears: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 0)
- Matt Harmon on Chicago Bears: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 0)
- Tracy Sandler on Chicago Bears: Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/74f12600-9587-488a-af00-2e8c11643531 (scored 100)
- Adam Chudwin on Chicago Bears: In his annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1 (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Travis Kelce: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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