# Mike Fanelli: Fanelli names six players they consider draft values relative to their NFFC ADP — Daniel Jones, James Cook, D'Andre Swift, DJ Moore, KC Concepcion and Juwan Johnson — arguing each will outperform their current cost. They also say Cook should be the third RB drafted, ahead of Christian McCaffrey, and that Johnson steps into the Saints' No. 2 receiving role.

**Claimed:** Aug 23, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Fanelli — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-fanelli
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/top-6-fantasy-football-draft-values-nffc-2026-picks/

10 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 2.

> I happily draft him as the third running back off the board, easily ahead of Christian McCaffrey.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 153.53 | TE17)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwan Johnson to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (ADP 129.28 | WR53)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: K.C. Concepcion, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP 54.46 | RB24)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 11.31 | RB6)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: James Cook, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP 161.26 | QB25)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (ADP 57.96 | WR28)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Juwan Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/juwan-johnson
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- James Cook — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Travis Kelce: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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