# Mason Dodd: Mason went round-by-round with fantasy draft targets, headlined by CeeDee Lamb as a potential overall WR1 at pick six, Devon Achane as a first-round talent falling to round two, Trey McBride outscoring every round-three receiver, and Treveon Henderson as the one player he must leave every draft with.

**Claimed:** Aug 10, 2025
**Pundit:** Mason Dodd — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mason-dodd
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/top-fantasy-football-draft-picks-targets-for-every-round-ep-1642

18 checkable claims — 15 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 18 have settled, averaging 48.6 out of 100, against 53.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think Trey McBride outscores every wide receiver going in round three.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trey Benson, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (round eleven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyler Warren
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (middle to possibly the end of the fourth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (pick one forty eight on ESPN)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (pick ninety one Yahoo one oh three sleeper and pick one hundred on ESPN)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ricky Pearsall
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Braelon Allen
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Trey McBride to outplay his draft cost (round three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (Round six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (pick sixteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **J.K. Dobbins to outplay his draft cost (round ten)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: J.K. Dobbins, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (pick six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jerome Ford to outplay his draft cost (Round thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jerome Ford, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Miles Sanders to outplay his draft cost (Round fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Miles Sanders, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jerome Ford to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jerome Ford, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Tyler Warren to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyler Warren
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **CeeDee Lamb to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Trey Benson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-benson
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Tyler Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren
- Jalen Hurts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-hurts
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Ricky Pearsall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ricky-pearsall
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Braelon Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/braelon-allen
- Trey McBride — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-mcbride
- TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- De'Von Achane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/de-von-achane
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- J.K. Dobbins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/j-k-dobbins
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Xavier Worthy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-worthy
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- CeeDee Lamb — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Jerome Ford — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jerome-ford
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Miles Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/miles-sanders

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Denver Broncos: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Philadelphia Eagles: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 0)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Jalen Coker: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on Tetairoa McMillan: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tetairoa McMillan: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mason-dodd