# Tom Strachan: Strachan is high on Zay Flowers as a touchdown-regression candidate, ranking him ahead of consensus as a top-30 overall player and WR13, and also touts Tucker Kraft, Makayle Lemon, Josh Downs, Tyler Allgeier and Dylan Sampson as values, while sitting slightly lower than Murphitt on Kyren Williams.

**Claimed:** Jul 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Tom Strachan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-strachan
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-sleepers-with-league-winning-upside-high-ceiling-targets-you-need-to-draft-ep-2076

7 checkable claims — 5 sleeper calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room on every one.

> He's my twenty eighth player overall compared to the ECR of thirty four, and he's my wife's sue thirteen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Makai Lemon to outplay his draft cost (ECR of ninety three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ECR one to thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR of thirty four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (ECR one thirty three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyler Allgeier, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zay Flowers to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (ECR sixty five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Zay Flowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zay-flowers
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Tyler Allgeier — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-allgeier
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Baltimore Ravens: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)
- Matt Harmon on Los Angeles Rams: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Tetairoa McMillan: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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