# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. They also expect Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. **Claimed:** Sep 23, 2026 **Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan **Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2026-nfl-week-3-picks-odds-predictions/ 20 checkable claims — 16 score predictions, 3 availability calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 16 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 61.3 out of 100, against 65.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > Allen is on an MVP trajectory over his first two games, totaling nine touchdowns. He's a freight train, and it feels like the Chargers will be his next victim. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Philadelphia Eagles 26 — Bears 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 54.46 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 28, 2026): Eagles by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 6) and more points (46). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Kansas City Chiefs 33 — Dolphins 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 17.78 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Chiefs by 10, total 45.5 · this 33–16 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 17) and more points (49). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Buffalo Bills 31 — Chargers 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 82.07 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Bills by 7, total 50.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Bills win (by 11) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Los Angeles Rams 23 — Broncos 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 91.59 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Broncos by 1.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a Rams win (by 3; the line gave the Rams 50%) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Indianapolis Colts 26 — Texans 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 96.35 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Texans by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 26–23 calls a Colts win (by 3; the line gave the Colts 47%) and more points (49). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 93.97 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Bengals by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions 33 — Jets 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 84.45 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Lions by 7, total 49.5 · this 33–21 calls a bigger Lions win (by 12) and more points (54). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Tennessee Titans 23 — Giants 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 89.21 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Giants by 2.5, total 37.5 · this 23–20 calls a Titans win (by 3; the line gave the Titans 46%) and more points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Baltimore Ravens 31 — Cowboys 29** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 43.97 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 53.5 · this 31–29 calls a closer game (Ravens by 2) and more points (60). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Jaguars by 3, total 46.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 2) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints 24 — Raiders 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 32.07 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Saints by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Saints win (by 4) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks 27 — Commanders 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 30.95 out of 100, against 96.35 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Seahawks by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Carolina Panthers 24 — Browns 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 93.97 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 3) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **San Francisco 49ers 33 — Cardinals 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 86.83 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): 49ers by 7.5, total 48.5 · this 33–23 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and more points (56). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Minnesota Vikings 23 — Buccaneers 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 34.45 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Vikings by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 23–21 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 2) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Green Bay Packers 26 — Falcons 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 11.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Sep 24, 2026): Packers by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 26–21 calls a bigger Packers win (by 5) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - “Jaxson Dart (knee) could miss the entire season ... all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants - Verdict: not settled yet - “Some may be back sooner than later, but all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet - “Jayden Daniels (elbow) will miss time ... all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Marcus Mariota, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Caleb Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Jayden Daniels — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-daniels - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Marcus Mariota — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marcus-mariota ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76) - Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29) - Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 80.95) - Nick Wright on Houston Texans: Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14c1f8dd-d8ff-498f-b705-4b468ff964f8 (scored 83.33) - Zac Cornelius on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Zach projected the Buccaneers to beat the Bears 24-12. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40f76aa6-2c17-45b9-bdcb-6c582ec9897f (scored 28.57) - Richard Sherman on Houston Texans: Sherman ranked the 49ers first in their Week 9 top five ahead of Buffalo, Chicago, Jacksonville and Denver, picked every Week 9 game with scores, and gave midseason award picks headlined by Brock Purdy for MVP and Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97d44ed7-e136-4f44-babc-78b1d8d020ad (scored 73.81) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=tyler-sullivan